Seasons Greetings from the Bank of Canada

Recent weeks have offered a large amount of economic news to digest from the Bank of Canada and more. Here are a few recent economic events:

  • A disappointing surprise in Canada’s low monthly employment figures yet overall holding at 3.6% annual rate
  • A hold in the Central bank rate at a remarkably low 1.75%
  • Outlook for slow and steady growth prospects for 2020 at 2% GDP
  • Inflation that appears to be under control in Canada (2.6%) and the U.S. (2.9%)
  • Pending approval of USMCA (NAFTA 2.0)

Lets be frank. If any economist proposed these figures five to ten years ago, they would be outliers. The overall economic picture that Bank of Canada (BoC) Governor Poloz describes in the recent report from our Partners at National Bank Financial Economics is optimistic and balanced. Poloz believes the economy remains resilient despite the recent unemployment monthly spike, stating “we (BoC) felt the employment situation in the country remained favourable, with participation rates and wages showing upward momentum.”

READ the FULL NATIONAL BANK ECONOMIC REPORT HERE

Tax Loss Selling Strategies

Don’t forget to review your investment portfolio as we near the end of the year with your Hampton Securities Investment Advisor. Financial markets have been strong and many indices have reached record highs. Each portfolio has its own target, risk and return objectives. Matching capital gains and losses can be very beneficial from a tax perspective. December 27th, 2019 is the last day to successfully sell for tax loss purposes.

Monday Monitor: July 10th Bank Speak Week

A big week coming up for the Bank of Canada (BoC) after a strong June jobs report coupled with a stronger Canadian dollar will focus attention on the BoC statement on monetary policy due on Wednesday July 12th. For the first time in seven years, the central bank could actually raise interest rates.

The broad-based improvement in business sentiment reported in the summer edition of the BoC Business Outlook Survey, leads us to expect the Bank to raise its policy rate 0.25% to 0.75%. A hike that should be replicated in October, bringing the policy rate to 1.00% at year-end.

Our partners at National Bank Financial offer in-depth analysis. Read their full report HERE.

U.S. Federal Reserve Delivers economic report

It is a busy week in the U.S. as Janet Yellen, the Federal Reserve’s Chair, will deliver her semi-annual report on the economy and monetary policy before the House of Representatives Financial Services Committee. In addition, Friday is the inflation rate announcement in the U.S.

What Do Higher Interest Rates Mean for Consumers?

Let’s remember interest rates in Canada, the U.S. and globally have been historically low since the 2008 Financial Crisis. Increasing rates are not a negative for many and a sign of a solid economic environment. Enjoy the break down on what the increase means for Canadian households.